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Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures for gross domestic product (GDP), which is estimated to have shown no growth in July 2025, following growth of 0.4% in June 2025 and a fall of 0.1% in May 2025
According to the latest ONS publication services and construction both grew in July 2025, growing by 0.1% and 0.2% respectively, while production fell by 0.9% in July 2025:
Services output is estimated to have grown by 0.1% in July 2025. This is the third consecutive monthly growth following increases of 0.3% in June 2025, and 0.1% in May 2025, with seven of the 14 subsectors growing in July 2025. The largest positive contribution to services growth in July 2025 came from the transportation and storage subsector, which grew by 1.4%. All six industries in this subsector grew in July 2025 with the largest contributions coming from an increase of 2.5% in warehousing and support activities for transportation and an increase of 0.8% in land transport services and transport services via pipelines, excluding rail transport.
Human health and social work activities was the second largest contributor to services growth in July 2025, with output increasing in this subsector by 0.4% in the month. This was mainly caused by human health activities (up 0.6%), with growth in both market and non-market sectors in July 2025.
Industrial action by resident doctors took place between 25 July 2025 and 30 July 2025. However, the NHS reported that thousands more appointments were protected during the doctor's strike between 25 July and 30 July, compared with the previous industrial action that took place between 27 June and 2 July 2024. There was also a 0.3% growth in residential care activities in July 2025. These increases were partially offset by a fall in social work activities without accommodation where output fell by 0.3%.
The largest negative contributions at the subsector level in July 2025 came from information and communication, where output fell by 0.7%. This fall was caused by a 5.6% decrease in motion picture, video and tv programme production, sound recording and music publishing activities.
Production output is estimated to have fallen by 0.9% in July 2025, following growth of 0.7% in June 2025. The decrease in output was mainly caused by manufacturing output, which fell by 1.3%, while mining and quarrying fell by 2.0%. These falls were partially offset by increases in output in electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, and water supply; sewerage, waste management, and remediation activities, of 2.0% and 0.8%, respectively;
Monthly construction output is estimated to have grown by 0.2% in July 2025. This follows a rise of 0.3% in June 2025. The increase in monthly output came solely from an increase in new work (up 0.3%), as repair and maintenance showed no growth in the month. Five out of the nine sectors saw increases in July 2025. At the sector level, the main contributors to the monthly increase were private housing repair and maintenance, and private new housing, which grew by 2.4% and 1.2%, respectively.
Quarterly GDP grew by 0.2% in the three months to July 2025 compared with the three months to April 2025. This rate of growth has slowed since the peak of 0.8% growth in the three months to April 2025 and is down from three-month-on-three-month growths of 0.3% in June 2025 and 0.6% in May 2025:
Quarterly services output grew by 0.4% in in the three months to July 2025, compared with the three months to April 2025, and was the main contributor to GDP growth over this period, after growing 0.4% in the three months to June 2025;
Quarterly production output fell by 1.3% in the three months to July 2025, compared with the three months to April 2025, following a fall of 0.3% in the three months to June 2025;
Quarterly construction output increased by 0.6% in the three months to July 2025, compared with the three months to April 2025, following growth of 1.2% in the three months to June 2025.
Note that early estimates of GDP are subject to revision in future publications (both positive and negative).
Source: Techlink Professional
This is a news bulletin and is up-to-date as of the date of publishing. Please check the publishing date at the top of the article.
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